한국과 중국의 대미 수출경쟁력 및 보완관계에 관한 실증적 연구

Abstract

ABSTRACT

An Empirical Study on Export Competitiveness and Complementary Relationship to the United States by Korea and China

Kim, Ji-Hyun Advisor : Prof. Park Ro-Kyung, Ph. D. Department of International Trade Graduate School of Chosun University

The purpose of this thesis is to analyse how the export competitiveness of Korea and China has been changed in the USA market during the period of 1998-2008 and to compare the competitiveness of both two countries, because China has been increasing their competitiveness due to the constant economic growth. To achieve this purpose, firstly, the trend of export competitiveness change has been examined, secondly, market share index, trade specialization index, and revealed comparative advantage index are used for analysing the export competitiveness in the USA market by using the data for HS 2 unit from no.29 to no.97. Thirdly, trade intensity index and intra-industry trade index(Grubel-Lloyd) are used for analysing the complementary relationship. The main results of empirical analysis are summarized as follows: First, the market share indices by Korea for the semi-conductor, communication equipment, and textile were high and competitive. China has shown the high market share ratio for the footwear, leather product, and computer product in ranking order. Second, in terms of trade specialization index, Korea has competitiveness for the autos and parts, miscellaneous transport equipment, communication equipment, textile, plastics, and rubber goods. China especially had the high rate of percentage for the clothes, footwear, and miscellaneous manufactured articles. Therefore, the Korea's competitiveness of clothes, autos and parts, and footwear has been measured very high, and those of lumber and household goods, leather products, chemistry products were very low and were shown as the import specialization. China has shown the high competitiveness for the clothes, footwear, miscellaneous manufactured goods, nonmetallic minerals, and household electric appliances. The low competitiveness was shown in ranking order for the semi-conductor, paper and printing publishment, and miscellaneous transport equipment. Third, if trade intensity index is higher than 1, the complementary relationship is higher than the world average. the trade intensity indices of the lumber and household goods, paper and printing publishment, iron, autos and parts, electric and electronic products, and machinery equipment are higher than 1. The highest ranking order for Chinese products are plastic, rubber, lumber and household goods, and the clothes are very low. Fourth, if the intra-industry trade index nears to the 1, it is shown that intra-industry trade is very active, however, relatively import and export is low. Korea has the high level of intra-industry trade for plastic and rubber products, paper, and printing publishment, nonmetallic minerals, machinery, miscellaneous manufactured goods, and household electric appliances, because the index nears to 1. Relatively, indices of autos and parts, clothes, lumber household goods, footwear are low and therefore, the export specialization level is high. Among the Chinese products, clothes, footwear, and miscellaneous manufactured goods have shown the high level of export and import specialization, however, precision machinery, machinery, chemistry, plastic and rubber goods have shown the high GL(Grubel-Lloyd) indices which means the low level of export and import specialization with the active intra-industry trade. This thesis extends the limitation of the previous literatures which dealt just only with the export competitiveness with the determinant. However, this thesis has shown the new followings. First, this thesis deals with the export competitiveness between Korea and China in the USA market using the market share index, trade specialization index and revealed comparative advantage index. Second, for overcoming the previous limitation, trade intensity index, and intra-industry trade index are newly introduced for measuring the export complementary relationship. Third, even though there is a difficulty for gathering the extensive HS data, unified world wide standard is used, and the analysed period is the very long-term for 11 years from 1998 to 2008. Therefore, the latest situation for the export and import competitiveness in the USA market by Korea and China are revealed which is one of the main differentiation of this thesis.